UFC 229: Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Betting Odds

Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is a clash of styles that the sport of MMA was created for. Maybe the best striker in the game vs the best grappler in this sport is a dream fight for UFC fans and Nurmagomedov, the current UFC lightweight winner, is favored to win -170 with McGregor coming back in +140. The mega-fight will occur tonight in vegas in UFC 229.
From a promotional standpoint, making the battle is a fantasy come true for the UFC as it will definitely be among the most profitable events in their own history, and from a betting standpoint, there is lots of money to be made also. McGregor fans will probably be foaming at the mouth to place a bet about the Irishman, especially at plus-money, however is that a smart bet vs the 26-0 Nurmagomedov, whose smothering grappling design was completely unsolvable?
McGregor’s grappling skills are probably in the typical range and that is a place where he has been taken advantage of before. A much smaller Chad Mendes readily took McGregor to the mat whenever he wished to at UFC 189 (yes, I know McGregor won the struggle ), and he had been choked out by Nate Diaz in UFC 196.
He does have a substantial disadvantage when it comes to wrestling, but there are different regions where McGregor would have a definite upper hand, most notably with his palms. Eighteen of his 21 professional wins have come via T/KO and he’s got a very impressive hit list that includes finishes of Jose Aldo, Eddie Alvarez, Dustin Poirier and, of course, Paulie Malignaggi (insert smiley face emoji here).
Line Movement (or lack thereof)
If the amount of gambling action McGregor received vs Floyd Mayweather is any indication, some bettors clearly don’t care how he matches stylistically — after opening at +950 vs Mayweather, McGregor closed at +265 because of an avalanche of stakes placed on him.
Many, including myself, presumed we would have seen much more motion online due to plenty of people money coming in on McGregor, but this hasn’t been the case however. On the afternoon Khabib vs McGregor was announced, Nurmagomedov opened at -200 with McGregor at +160. With the champ currently at -170 and Conor in +140 on the afternoon of the struggle, there’s still pretty good value on McGregor as a puppy and those who are convinced in Khabib should feel good about getting him at a far greater number than his opening odds.

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